A method for estimating the origin time of an ensuing mainshock by observations of preshock crustal seismic deformation

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A method for estimating the origin time of an ensuing mainshock by observations of preshock crustal seismic deformation (EN)

KARAKAISIS, G. F.
SAVVAIDIS, A. S.
PAPAZACHOS, B. C.
PAPAZACHOS, C. B.
SCORDILIS, E. M.

info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article (EN)

2001-01-01


Observations on accelerating crustal deformation due to the generation of intermediate magnitude preshocks in the Aegean area are used to propose a method for prediction of the origin time of an ensuing mainshock. The method is based on a precursory seismic excitation that occurs in the preshock region at a time correlated to the origin time of the oncoming mainshock. The uncertainty in this prediction is of the order of ± 1.5 years with relatively high confidence ('90%). (EN)

earthquake prediction (EN)
precursory excitation (EN)
Aegean area (EN)
Accelerating seismic deformation (EN)

Δελτίο της Ελληνικής Γεωλογικής Εταιρίας

English

Geological Society of Greece (EN)

0438-9557
2529-1718
Δελτίο της Ελληνικής Γεωλογικής Εταιρείας; Τόμ. 34 Αρ. 4 (2001): 9o διεθνές Συνέδριο της ΕΓΕ; 1573-1579 (EL)
Bulletin of the Geological Society of Greece; Vol. 34 No. 4 (2001): 9th International Conference of the Geological Society of Greece; 1573-1579 (EN)

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
Copyright (c) 2018 B. C. PAPAZACHOS, G. F. KARAKAISIS, C. B. PAPAZACHOS, E. M. SCORDILIS, A. S. SAVVAIDIS (EN)



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